Two Completed Categories: Supporting Actress & Supporting Actor

I completed these categories, along with Lead Actress, when I watched Sentimental Value last week, because the general approach with that movie seemed to be "You get an acting nomination! And you get an acting nomination!"  However, the same could be said of One Scene Battle After Another.  Each of those flicks has FOUR acting nominations.  And Sinners got three. 

Actress In A Supporting Role
Elle Fanning -Sentimental Value
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas - Sentimental Value
Amy Magigan - Weapons 
Wunmi Mosaku - Sinners
Teyana Taylor - One Battle After Another 

Actor In A Supporting Role
Benicio Del Toro - One Battle After Another
Jacob Elordi - Frankenstein
Delroy Lindo - Sinners
Sean Penn - One Battle After Another 
Stellan Skarsgard - Sentimental Value

 

That means out of 20 acting nominations, 11 are for only three movies, and then there are nine where only one performance is nominated from the film.  Of the ten Supporting nominations, EIGHT are from those same three movies, and then one in each category from a single nominated performance. The interesting thing though is that there are two films with four nominations, but not one in each of the four categories; rather, one film doubles up in Supporting Actor with no Actress nom and one doubles up in Supporting Actress with no Actor nom. 

Yes, this is interesting.  I mean, you know. If you're an Oscar dork/completist such as myself. 

So anyhoo, what do we like, loathe, or think is overrated?  And will the movies that doubled up split the vote and thus lose those particular categories? 

I mentioned already that I like Sentimental Value.  Really. But I think y'all need to calm down a little bit about it. Actually, I don't know that I could see either Elle or Inga winning even without a vote to split, but they are just part of the freely doled out love for that movie. It's a movie that people are proud of themselves for liking. You might think that's One Interminable Scene After Another, but no, that's different; that movie is one people are pressured into liking by the film zeitgeist and the insistence that you love Paul Thomas Anderson, no really, you do. That being said, Teyana Taylor has a reeealllly good chance here. People loved her in One Battle... and she honestly might also be carrying a bit of the torch for the other women from her film that didn't end up getting nominations -- yes, people thought there might be even more.  She seems to be everywhere, she won the Golden Globe (but she read her speech off a piece of paper, boo), she presented at the Grammys, and she is definitely running strong for this award.  

While I am hoping (against hope?) that Sinners does win some awards and is not completely steamrolled by Seventy-Five Million Battles One After the Other, I think Wunmi Mosaku is the honor-to-be-nominated one and this won't be the category where Sinners triumphs.  The absolute wild card here is Amy Madigan in Weapons. I weirdly saw Weapons in a crowded theatre the Thursday evening that it came out down the street from where I lived last August - I know, who am I, right?! - and it's not my kind of movie and it was a bit silly and Amy Madigan as Aunt Gladys was completely batshit crazy but hey, she did her thing, and she is loved. Enough to upset everybody on Oscar night?  Who's to say?  Weirder things have happened. Including in several of these movies, where lots and lots of weird stuff happens. 

Speaking of weird, Sean Penn's absolutely looney tunes unhinged performance is nominated along with Benicio Del Toro for Is This Battle Still Going On Seriously.  That movie just would not end, but when Benicio showed up is when it pulled me back in.  I thought he was fantastic in a million ways, which is not to say that Sean wasn't great, but Sean was around for more of it (and there was so, so much of it) and his character is evil and weird and gross and basically Benicio was one of the best parts of the flick, but really at any rate neither of them is that likely to win this -- they really might split their One Vote After Another.  I think it is more realistic that nobody calms down about Sentimental Value and Stellan Skarsgard wins, and thus the movie that doubles up in one Supporting category wins the other Supporting category both times.  

I personally loved Frankenstein and Jacob Elordi, who is definitely honored to be nominated. But! Could Delroy Lindo in Sinners work some magic here? He is - like Amy Madigan - loved by many actors and others and it is strongly felt that he is overdue; he could be the surprise here in that kind of Mark Rylance way. We shall see. 

When I don't hate any of the movies -- even the one that dragged on and on and on -- it's harder for me to rant about who should win. Delroy Lindo's was one of the most captivating performances.  Jacob Elordi  had a lot going on, and his degree of difficulty with how lovely he made that character is something to behold. I'm always fond of Benicio and Elle, including their work here. I'm not really mad at anyone who wins these -- even if I really couldn't stand the characters played by either Teyana Taylor or Sean Penn in One Battle After Another After Another. 

Order I want them to win for Supporting Actress, I guess: 
Wunmi/Amy/Teyana barely separated, then a gap, then Elle then Inga, but all are so close. I just don't have a strong soaring favorite here, but I do like Sinners the most.  

Order I think they will win: 
Teyana Taylor, Amy Madigan, Elle Fanning, Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Wunmi Mosaku. 

Order I want them to win for Supporting Actor: 
Benicio or Delroy, Jacob, Sean, Stellan
Order I think they will win: 
Stellan Skarsgard, then Delroy Lindo or Sean Penn, Benicio del Toro, Jacob Elordi

Which performance was your favorite?